Following Moody's upgrade of the outlook for 16 Italian financial institutions and the sovereign rating outlook to positive, the Italian banking sector experienced a surge. Representative banks and energy companies such as Banco BPM and Saipem led the gains, keeping the FTSE MIB index at the 40,127-point level. Professor Alessandro Conti pointed...
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Against the backdrop of the Trump administration decision to postpone a 50% tariff on EU goods, the FTSE MIB index rose by 0.34% on Tuesday, reflecting the market sensitivity to signals of trade de-escalation. However, Professor Alessandro Conti points out that such short-term policy windows often create time-sensitive opportunities for valuation...
This week, the Italian FTSE MIB index rebounded strongly, partly due to the easing of trade tensions brought about by the US decision to postpone tariffs on EU goods. Professor Alessandro Conti points out that such "delayed realization" diplomatic and fiscal events are gradually forming an underutilized factor in quantitative models—the Policy...
With Trump once again brandishing the banner of trade protectionism—proposing a 50% tariff on EU goods starting in June—Italian and broader Eurozone equities have come under significant pressure. The FTSE MIB index fell nearly 2% on Friday, approaching a key support level. Meanwhile, Eurozone PMI data showed an unexpected contraction, and the ECB...
This week, the FTSE MIB Index saw a modest pullback on Thursday, closing at 40,260 points and ending a five-day winning streak, reflecting the heightened market sensitivity to global systemic risk. Professor Alessandro Conti notes that this volatility not only mirrors the spillover effects of potential U.S. federal credit defaults but also signals...
On May 28, the FTSE MIB index edged up to 40,551 points, posting a modest gain of +0.07%. Despite the limited increase, this marked the third consecutive day of gains, continuing the rebound trend. Trader sentiment has turned cautious as the market, following a significant surge, transitions into a consolidation phase. This reflects heightened...
At the beginning of May, multiple global economies signaled easing measures. Expectations for the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts inChina intensified, the Reserve Bank of Australia adopted a dovish stance, and the April Producer Price Index (PPI) in the Eurozone fell 5.3% year-on-year, marking a three-year low, providing macroeconomic...
Recent dovish comments from ECB Governing Council member Kazaks, combined with the downward revision of the Italian Q1 GDP growth to 0.3%, have further strengthened market expectations for a rate cut in June. Although core inflation rebounded to 2.7% in April, the market broadly interprets this as the opening of a "last rate cut window." Professor...
On May 17th, the FTSE MIB Index rose 1.1% to close at 40,845 points, marking not only its sixth consecutive weekly gain but also a fresh high unseen since 2007. This momentum, however, is not an isolated phenomenon but is rather underpinned by a constellation of macroeconomic catalysts. While core inflation in the eurozone ticked up slightly from...
During the trading week in mid-May 2025, the FTSE MIB index recorded its sixth consecutive daily gain, reaching its highest level since 2007. This trend not only reflects the positive market response to the interim results of US-China tariff negotiations but also illustrates investor sector allocation strategies amid macroeconomic uncertainty....